Ali Larijani, the Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council of Iran, has a complex political legacy and uncertain future.
Ali Larijani, currently serving as the Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council of Iran, has been in this influential position since August 2025. His extensive political career includes roles as a Minister, Speaker of Parliament, and multiple presidential candidacies, marking him as a significant figure in Iran’s governance.
Larijani is often viewed as a pragmatic conservative by Western powers, which adds a layer of complexity to his political maneuvers. However, his reputation is not without controversy; political scientist Mahnaz Shirali has described him as “hated by Iranians” and a “criminal against humanity.” This stark contrast in perceptions highlights the challenges Larijani faces in navigating Iran’s turbulent political landscape.
Negotiations with Western powers have been a part of Larijani’s portfolio, yet skepticism looms over his authority. Azadeh Kian, a professor emeritus of sociology, has pointed out that it is “not obvious that his orders will actually be followed, particularly by the Revolutionary Guards, who are a state within a state.” This raises questions about the effectiveness of his leadership in a system where loyalty may not be guaranteed.
Moreover, Kian warns that if adversaries such as the Americans or Israelis targeted Larijani, he could meet a swift end, similar to others who have faced elimination. This precarious position underscores the risks inherent in his role.
Despite his political weight, there are doubts regarding Larijani’s ability to embody the future of Iranian power. Shirali asserts that even if a compromise were reached with other political figures, establishing authority based on Larijani would be implausible. This sentiment reflects broader concerns about the stability of Iran’s political framework.
As Larijani continues to navigate his dual role of negotiator and leader, observers remain watchful of how his influence will evolve. The dynamics within Iran’s political elite, especially concerning the Revolutionary Guards, will be crucial in determining his future.
Details remain unconfirmed regarding the extent of Larijani’s influence and the potential for any significant shifts in Iran’s governance. The coming months will be pivotal in revealing whether he can consolidate power or if his political career will face further challenges.
